On the 13th, local time, the South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation.The list of members of the Sixth Executive Council of the Macao Special Administrative Region was announced. According to the relevant provisions of the Basic Law of the Macao Special Administrative Region, the sixth Chief Executive of the Macao Special Administrative Region has completed the preparatory work for the members of the Sixth Executive Council of the Macao Special Administrative Region. Eleven people have accepted the invitation to serve as members of the Executive Council: Zhang Yongchun, Ou Anli, Chen Zewu, Ma Zhiyi, Chen Jialiang, Ye Zhaojia, Liu Yiliang, Liang Weifeng, Song Biqi, Tang Jizong and Yu Chengbin. The relevant executive order will be announced on December 20, and 11 members of the Executive Council will be sworn in on the same day. The Executive Council is an organization that assists the Chief Executive in making decisions. The sixth Chief Executive, Cen Haohui, is convinced that all the appointed members can support and implement the Basic Law of the Macao Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China, be loyal to the People's Republic of China (PRC) Special Administrative Region, be devoted to their duties, be honest and perform their duties, safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests, accurately implement the principle of "one country, two systems" and ensure the stability and far-reaching implementation of "one country, two systems" in Macao.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.
State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.The winning bid rate of China's 2-year treasury bonds was 1.06%, which was 31 basis points lower than last month. The Ministry of Finance of China issued treasury bonds today, and the weighted average winning bid rate of 2-year varieties was 1.06%. The data shows that the bid-winning interest rate is about 31 basis points lower than that when the national debt of the same term was issued in November, the lowest since Bloomberg recorded it in 2004.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.
CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Meeting held on December 13th, Beijing launched the online game boutique publishing project. The online game boutique publishing project combines the functional orientation of the capital, highlights the characteristics of the capital, excavates the cultural elements of Beijing, focuses on five key directions, implements five supporting mechanisms to excavate and incubate the boutique, and guides and drives the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. Five key directions, namely, spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms will be implemented for the game works and enterprises selected for the top-quality game publishing project in Beijing, namely, priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism, so as to increase support for the innovative creation of top-quality games. (beijing communication radio)Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.